WNBA Betting: A Look at WNBA Finals Odds

Favorites: The New York Liberty (+230) lead the pack after their 2024 championship win, giving them a 30.3% implied chance of repeating their success.
Top Contenders: Indiana Fever (+350) and Las Vegas Aces (+350) both stand with 22.2% implied odds, showcasing strong rosters and competitive potential.
Other Strong Teams: The Minnesota Lynx (+400) bring playoff experience, while the Phoenix Mercury (+1000) are a dark horse with veteran leadership.
Longshots: Teams like the Seattle Storm (+6600) and Golden State Valkyries (+20000) face steep challenges, reflecting rebuilding phases or new franchise hurdles.

Quick Comparison of Championship Odds

Team	Odds	Implied Probability
New York Liberty	+230	30.3%
Indiana Fever	+350	22.2%
Las Vegas Aces	+350	22.2%
Minnesota Lynx	+400	20.0%
Phoenix Mercury	+1000	9.1%
Los Angeles Sparks	+4000	2.4%
Chicago Sky	+5000	2.0%
Atlanta Dream	+5000	2.0%
Seattle Storm	+6600	1.5%
Dallas Wings	+7500	1.3%
Washington Mystics	+7500	1.3%
Golden State Valkyries	+20000	0.5%

Betting Tips:

Focus on favorites like the Liberty for safer bets.
Consider mid-tier teams like the Mercury for balanced risk and reward.
Avoid longshots unless looking for high-risk, high-reward scenarios.

The 2025 season promises fierce competition with thrilling rivalries across all tiers.

Bettors backing Fever, Clark to win WNBA Finals after huge ...

1. New York Liberty (+230)

The New York Liberty, the reigning WNBA champions, head into the 2025 season as the team to beat. After securing their first title in 2024 with a victory over the Minnesota Lynx, they’ve kept their core roster intact while making targeted adjustments to strengthen their chances of repeating their success. Their game plan is anchored by a strong offensive strategy.

The Liberty’s championship run was fueled by precise ball movement and deadly accuracy from beyond the arc - an approach they aim to carry forward this season. Their performance on home court is expected to be a major factor in their 2025 campaign, further solidifying their position as favorites. These elements give them an edge, even as other teams look to close the gap.

With +230 odds, the Liberty have about a 30.3% implied chance of winning the championship. While teams like the Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces present tough competition, the Liberty’s experience and consistent offensive firepower make them the team to watch.

2. Indiana Fever (+350)

The Indiana Fever head into the 2025 season with high expectations, reflected in their +350 odds to win the championship. Rookie sensation Caitlin Clark brings a dynamic offensive presence while also generating plenty of buzz among fans.

The team has made strides in strengthening its roster. Over the offseason, the front office focused on building a competitive squad around Clark. Key free agency additions have added depth to their bench and improved their defensive capabilities. With +350 odds, the Fever are tied with the Las Vegas Aces, indicating about a 22.2% chance of taking home the title.

What makes the Fever stand out is their balanced team structure. While Clark is the centerpiece, the supporting cast has been carefully assembled to complement her game. With better spacing and more reliable three-point shooting, the team is set up to maximize its offensive potential.

Playing at Gainbridge Fieldhouse also gives them a playoff edge, as their home court provides a strong advantage during critical games.

However, the Fever face the challenge of managing championship expectations. To meet those odds, they’ll need to stay consistent through a tough regular season and overcome experienced opponents like the Liberty and Aces in the playoffs. Their rapid rise reflects the broader theme of transformation across the league this season.

3. Las Vegas Aces (+350)

The Las Vegas Aces head into the 2025 season with +350 odds, giving them an implied 22.2% chance of winning. This shows that oddsmakers have a lot of confidence in their ability to compete for the championship.

These odds highlight the team's consistent performance and strong roster, which have been key factors in their success. Their ability to maintain high-level play makes them an attractive option for bettors.

With +350 odds, the Aces present a solid betting opportunity, supported by their proven track record and potential to secure a championship.

4. Minnesota Lynx (+400)

After reaching the 2024 Finals against the New York Liberty, the Minnesota Lynx head into the 2025 season with +400 odds, giving them about a 20% implied chance of winning the championship.

Currently ranked fourth behind the New York Liberty (+230), Indiana Fever (+350), and Las Vegas Aces (+350), the Lynx are seen as strong contenders. Their steady performance and playoff experience make them a tough team to overlook in the title race.

This season promises to be intense, with every game potentially reshaping the league's top contenders.

5. Phoenix Mercury (+1000)

The Phoenix Mercury kicks off the 2025 WNBA season with +1000 odds, giving them an implied 9.1% chance of winning it all. This positions them squarely in the middle of the league's contenders - well behind the reigning champions, the New York Liberty, but still ahead of several other teams. These odds highlight their standing in the league's competitive landscape.

At +1000, the Mercury could be an intriguing option for bettors who believe they might outperform expectations. The significant jump in odds to +4000 for the Sparks emphasizes that Phoenix is the last team with a realistic shot at making a championship run. They sit at the dividing line between true contenders and teams considered longshots.

With the Liberty (+230), Fever (+350), Aces (+350), and Lynx (+400) leading the pack, the Mercury holds the final spot among teams viewed as legitimate threats in the championship race.

6. Los Angeles Sparks (+4000)

The Los Angeles Sparks head into the 2025 WNBA season as major underdogs with +4000 odds (2.44% implied probability). This means a $100 bet could bring in $4,000 if they manage to win the championship. For bettors, this creates a high-risk, high-reward scenario.

Compared to teams like the Phoenix Mercury (+1000), the Sparks fall firmly into the long-shot category. This gap in odds highlights the difference between mid-tier teams and those seen as less likely to contend. Oddsmakers clearly view the Sparks as a team in the rebuilding phase, facing an uphill battle against stronger competition.

The +4000 odds also reflect one of the widest gaps in the 2025 championship futures market, emphasizing the challenges ahead for the Sparks in a league with stiff competition at the top.

7. Chicago Sky (+5000)

The Chicago Sky enter the 2025 WNBA season as underdogs, with odds of +5000. This gives them an implied probability of about 1.96%. To put it in perspective, a $100 bet on the Sky could result in a $5,000 payout if they win the championship.

Compared to favorites like the New York Liberty (+230) and Indiana Fever (+350), the Sky's odds highlight their position as a long shot. They share these odds with the Atlanta Dream, while teams like the Phoenix Mercury (+1000) are seen as far stronger contenders, with odds five times better.

For bettors, the Sky's long odds present a high-risk, high-reward opportunity. Even a small wager could lead to a big payout if they exceed expectations. Their chances are slightly better than teams like the Seattle Storm (+6600) and Golden State Valkyries (+20000), but they remain a gamble for those willing to take a chance.

8. Atlanta Dream (+5000)

The Atlanta Dream are listed at +5000 odds, marking them as underdogs for the 2025 season. This means a $100 bet would return $5,000 if they win it all.

These odds highlight the challenges the Dream face in a competitive league. With an implied championship probability of just under 2%, their path to the title is steep.

Interestingly, the Dream sit in the middle of the longshot category. They have better odds than teams like the Seattle Storm (+6600) and the new Golden State Valkyries (+20000), but they trail far behind favorites such as the Minnesota Lynx (+400) and Phoenix Mercury (+1000).

For bettors, the Dream's +5000 odds present a high-risk, high-reward scenario. While their chances of a championship run are slim, the potential payout might appeal to those placing smaller bets in hopes of a big return. It’s an option for risk-tolerant bettors who enjoy wagering on underdog stories.

These odds suggest the Dream are seen as a team with the potential to surprise but not one expected to make a serious title push. Up next, we’ll break down the Seattle Storm’s odds and their potential impact.

9. Seattle Storm (+6600)

The Seattle Storm's +6600 odds place them as clear underdogs. A $100 bet on the Storm would yield $6,600 if they manage to win the championship.

Their odds are much longer than mid-tier teams like the Chicago Sky (+5000) but far shorter than the expansion Golden State Valkyries (+20000). This gives the Storm an implied probability of about 1.5%, underscoring their challenging position.

The team faces tough competition from heavyweights like the reigning champion New York Liberty and the revamped Indiana Fever.

For bettors, these odds offer a gamble with the potential for a big payout, though it comes with significant risk. The Storm's position adds an interesting layer to the shifting championship odds.

10. Dallas Wings (+7500)

The Dallas Wings head into the 2025 season as longshots, with odds of +7500. This means a $100 bet could bring in $7,500 if they manage a championship run. They share this position with the Washington Mystics and Connecticut Sun, sitting near the bottom of the list of contenders.

At +7500 (equivalent to a 1.3% implied probability), the Wings face a tough road in a league dominated by teams like the New York Liberty and Indiana Fever. While they've shown flashes of promise in recent seasons, they lag behind mid-level teams such as the Phoenix Mercury (+1000) but are still ahead of the expansion Golden State Valkyries (+20000).

For those willing to take a risk, the Wings offer the potential for big payouts. However, their odds reflect a team in the midst of rebuilding, needing significant strides to compete with the league's top-tier teams.

11. Washington Mystics (+7500)

The Washington Mystics head into the 2025 WNBA season with long-shot odds of +7500, placing them on par with the Dallas Wings and Connecticut Sun. A $100 bet on the Mystics could yield a $7,500 payout.

These odds highlight the uphill battle they face against top teams like the defending champion New York Liberty (+230) and Indiana Fever (+350). To compete with stronger contenders, the Mystics will need to make major strides in their performance. However, such high odds might appeal to bettors chasing big returns.

Sitting alongside the Wings and Sun at +7500 and behind mid-tier teams like the Chicago Sky and Atlanta Dream (+5000), the Mystics have a lot of ground to cover if they hope to position themselves as serious title contenders. This comparison sets the stage for evaluating all underdog teams in the championship race.

12. Golden State Valkyries (+20000)

The Golden State Valkyries enter the WNBA with long-shot championship odds of +20000. A $100 wager could bring in $20,000 if they pull off a title win.

Located in the San Francisco Bay Area, the Valkyries face the typical hurdles of a new franchise: assembling a competitive roster and building team chemistry. These challenges often take years to overcome, putting them at a disadvantage against well-established teams like the reigning champion New York Liberty (+230) and the talent-packed Indiana Fever (+350).

The +20000 odds reflect the tough road ahead, especially when compared to teams such as the Dallas Wings and Washington Mystics (+7500), which already boast more experienced and polished rosters.

The Valkyries' debut brings the WNBA into a major West Coast market, presenting an intriguing, though risky, betting option for those willing to take a chance on an underdog.

Team Comparison

This section evaluates the 2025 WNBA championship contenders, breaking them down by their likelihood of taking the title.

The championship race includes dominant teams with proven track records and rising squads looking to make their mark.

Elite Tier (+230 to +400)

New York Liberty (+230): As the defending champions, they bring a strong, well-rounded roster to the table.
Indiana Fever (+350): Caitlin Clark leads a deeper, more balanced lineup this season.
Las Vegas Aces (+350): Known for their consistent regular-season success, they remain a top threat.
Minnesota Lynx (+400): Their recent Finals experience gives them an edge in high-pressure moments.

Mid-Tier Contenders (+1000 to +5000)

Phoenix Mercury (+1000): A mix of seasoned veterans and rising stars makes them a dangerous underdog.
Los Angeles Sparks (+4000) and Chicago Sky (+5000): Both teams have the potential to pull off surprises, though they'll need to overcome roster challenges.
Atlanta Dream (+5000): Inconsistencies have held them back, but improvement could make them a serious contender.

Long Shots (+6600 to +20000)

Seattle Storm (+6600): Struggling to regain their former dominance, they face an uphill battle.
Dallas Wings, Washington Mystics, Connecticut Sun (all +7500): These teams need major roster upgrades to compete with the league’s best.
Golden State Valkyries (+20000): As an expansion team, they’re navigating the typical hurdles of building a competitive squad.

Championship Tiers	Teams	Key Factors
Championship Favorites	New York Liberty, Indiana Fever	Strong rosters, proven success
Strong Contenders	Las Vegas Aces, Minnesota Lynx	Consistent performance, playoff experience
Dark Horses	Phoenix Mercury	Veteran players, capable of surprising others
Rebuilding Teams	Los Angeles Sparks, Chicago Sky, Atlanta Dream	Focused on development and roster changes
Long Shots	Seattle Storm, Dallas Wings, Washington Mystics, Connecticut Sun, Golden State Valkyries	Limited title chances, rebuilding focus

Final Analysis

The 2025 WNBA season offers plenty of betting options across different tiers. The New York Liberty stands out as the top favorite, thanks to their championship-winning track record and strong roster.

The Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces, both listed at +350, are strong title contenders as well. The Fever’s revamped lineup, built around Caitlin Clark, and the Aces’ consistent performance make both teams serious threats. Beyond the favorites, mid-tier teams also present interesting opportunities.

For example, the Phoenix Mercury at +1,000 provides a solid mix of risk and reward, blending experienced leadership with rising talent. On the other hand, teams with odds of +4,000 or more are higher-risk bets, reflecting their distance from the top contenders.

A sharp betting strategy can help you make the most of these opportunities: